MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0626
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
750 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
 
AREAS AFFECTED...WEST COAST OF THE FL PENINSULA 
 
CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE 
 
VALID 312349Z - 010530Z
 
SUMMARY...FLASH FLOODING REMAINS A CONCERN ALONG THE WEST COAST OF
THE FL PENINSULA THIS EVENING AS YET ANOTHER BAND OF HEAVY
RAINFALL IS POISED TO MOVE ONSHORE.

DISCUSSION...RADAR EARLY THIS EVENING SHOWED YET ANOTHER AREA OF
HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO MOVING EASTWARD
SLOWLY TO THE EAST WHILE INDIVIDUAL CELLS WERE GENERALLY MOVING
TOWARDS THE NORTH.  THIS WILL BRING MORE RAIN TO AREAS WHICH HAVE
HAD PERSISTENT MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS DURING
THE AFTERNOON...WHICH MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING GIVEN THE
INCREASINGLY SATURATED GROUND.

THE 21Z RUNS OF THE RAP AND THE HRRR STILL DEPICT AN ADDITIONAL 1
TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL THROUGH 06Z...ALTHOUGH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE WHERE THE MOST INTENSE RAINFALL
RATES SET UP.  THE TAMPA 88D SHOWED MAXIMUM RAINFALL RATES OF 1.5
INCHES PER HOURS SET TO MOVE ONSHORE AS OF 2340Z.

THIS SUGGESTS THAT FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 0530Z.

BANN

ATTN...WFO...MFL...TBW...

ATTN...RFC...SERFC...

LAT...LON   28328219 26548141 25738166 26268232 27228273 
            28168295