Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0954
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
936 AM EDT Tue Oct 09 2018
Areas affected...Central Texas
Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible
Valid 091336Z - 091800Z
Summary...Several lines of thunderstorms tracking through central
to north-central TX will be capable of producing hourly totals up
to 1.5" and may lead to some flash flooding.
Discussion...Recent IR imagery continues to show deep convection
developing across portions of central Texas. Aloft, water vapor
imagery depicts a strong shortwave pushing into west-central TX,
aiding the upper level support. In the low levels, there is a
corridor of high PWATs and moisture transport feeding into the
current convection.
Radar imagery from the area shows hourly rates of 1 to locally 2".
This activity is expected to move eastward over the next several
hours and potentially uptick with building instability. As this
moves into areas with lower FFG (1-hr around 1.5"), some localized
flash flooding will be possible.
Taylor
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...FWD...HGX...SHV...SJT...
ATTN...RFC...WGRFC...
LAT...LON 33589764 32969544 29279745 28239996 28820099
29710070 31899968
Last Updated: 936 AM EDT Tue Oct 09 2018