THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
COLLEGE PARK, MD
CARIBBEAN FORECAST DISCUSSION
TROPICAL DISCUSSION - INTERNATIONAL DESKS
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
305 PM EDT FRI JUL 01 2022
NOTE TO ALL USERS: THE FULL BULLETIN WILL BE AVAILABLE ONLINE
AGAIN STARTING MONDAY JULY 11. ON THE WEEK OF TUESDAY JULY
05-08...WE WILL CONTINUE TO UPDATE THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION OF
THE BULLETIN.
FORECAST BULLETIN FROM 01 JULY 2022 AT 18 UTC:
TROPICAL WAVES/TUTT INDUCED PERTURBATIONS/TRADE WIND SURGES
INITIALIZED AT 12 UTC:
TYPE INIT SOF 02/00 02/12 03/00 03/12 04/00 04/12 05/00 05/12
TW 40W 09N 43W 46W 49W 51W 54W 57W 60W 63W
TW 58W 17N 62W 65W 68W 71W 75W 78W 81W 85W
TW 63W 10N 66W 69W 72W 76W 80W DISS
EW 97W 10N 100W 103W 106W DISS
EW 101W 11N 106W 108W 110W EXITS
A TROPICAL WAVE IS INITIALIZED AT 40W. ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...THE WAVE WILL BE OUT OF CONTINENT. ON SUNDAY...THE WAVE
WILL FAVOR A MAXIMA OF 15-25MM IN EASTERN
VENEZUELA...GUYANA...SURINAME...FRENCH GUIANA AND THE NORTHEASTERN
PART OF BRAZIL.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS INITIALIZED AT 58W. ON FRIDAY...THE WAVE WILL
FAVOR A MAXIMA OF 40-80MM WITH POSSIBLE SQUALLY WEATHER IN
NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES AND A MAXIMA OF 20-35MM IN ITS SOUTHERN
PART. IT WILL ALSO FAVOR A MAXIMA OF 20-35MM IN SOUTHEASTERN
VENEZUELA AND A MAXIMA OF 15-25MM IN GUYANA...SURINAME...FRENCH
GUIANA...NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA AND NORTHERN PART OF BRAZIL. ON
SATURDAY...THE WAVE WILL FAVOR A MAXIMA OF 20-40MM IN NORTHERN
GUYANA AND PORTION OF FAR EASTERN VENEZUELA WHILE IT WILL FAVOR A
MAXIMA OF 15-25MM IN SOUTHERN AND THE REMAINING AREA OF EASTERN
VENEZUELA AND ITS SOUTHERN PART. ON SUNDAY...THE WAVE WILL FAVOR A
MAXIMA OF 15-20MM IN SOUTHERN CUBA...A MAXIMA OF 15-25MM IN PUERTO
RICO...A MAXIMA OF 20-40MM IN HISPANIOLA...A MAXIMA OF 15-30MM IN
JAMAICA...A MAXIMA OF 20-35MM IN PANAMA AND NORTHWESTERN COLOMBIA
AND A MAXIMA OF 20-40MM IN WESTERN VENEZUELA AND FROM NORTHEASTERN
TO SOUTHWESTERN PART OF COLOMBIA.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS INITIALIZED AT 63W. ON FRIDAY...THE WAVE WILL
FAVOR A MAXIMA OF 20-35MM IN WESTERN AND SOUTHERN
VENEZUELA...NORTHEASTERN COLOMBIA.IT WILL ALSO FAVOR A MAXIMA OF
15-20MM IN SOUTHERN COLOMBIA. ON SATURDAY...THE WAVE WILL FAVOR A
MAXIMA OF 20-40MM IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL COLOMBIA AND A MAXIMA OF
15-25MM IN NORTHWESTERN COLOMBIA. ON SUNDAY...THE WAVE WILL FAVOR
A MAXIMA OF 20-35MM IN SOUTHERN/EASTERN NICARAGUA INCLUDING THE
PROVIDENCIA ISLAND.IT WILL ALSO FAVOR A MAXIMA OF 20-40MM IN COSTA
RICA AND THEN DISSIPATE LATER ON.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS INITIALIZED AT 97W. ON FRIDAY...THE WAVE WILL
FAVOR A MAXIMA OF 15-20MM IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND A MAXIMA OF
20-40MM ALONG ITS WESTERN COASTAL AREA. ON SATURDAY...THE WAVE
WILL FAVOR A MAXIMA OF 25-50MM ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF
MEXICO.IT WILL ALSO FAVOR A MAXIMA OF 20-40MM NEAR SOUTHWESTERN
COASTAL AREAS OF MEXICO AND A MAXIMA OF 20-35MM IN ITS
NORTHEASTERN AREAS.
ON SUNDAY...THE WAVE WILL FAVOR A MAXIMA OF
AN EASTERLY WAVE IS INITIALIZED AT 101W. ON FRIDAY...SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY...THE WAVE WILL BE OUT OF THE CONTINENT
DIAWARA...WPC (USA)
Last Updated: 305 PM EDT FRI JUL 01 2022