Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
310 PM EST Tue Feb 10 2026

Valid 00Z Wed Feb 11 2026 - 00Z Fri Feb 13 2026

...Pacific system will bring lower elevation rain and heavy high elevation
snow to California and the Mountain West...

... Wintry weather expected with passing clipper system in the Interior
Northeast/New England tonight...

... Above-average temperatures continue for much of the country through
mid-week....

A Pacific system will bring an influx of moisture/weak atmospheric river
to California this evening into tomorrow. Most coastal locations, as well
as the northern central valleys, will see beneficial moderate rainfall.
There will be enough energy along the cold front to produce a few
thunderstorms. Thunderstorms that do develop may bring a strong wind gust
or two, as well as heavier rainfall rates that could bring a Marginal
chance for Excessive Rainfall across the Transverse Mountain Range
tonight, particularly over the sensitive burn scars. Heavy snow is
expected for the Sierra Nevada through late tomorrow. There are Winter
Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories for moderate probabilities of
snowfall accumulations up to a foot and winds upwards to 50 mph.
Precipitation chances will trend downward through the day Wednesday as the
system moves inland with precipitation chances increasing from the central
Great Basin east through the central Rockies for Wednesday and Thursday.
Higher elevations of the Wasatch and Rockies will see moderate to locally
heavy snow, with lighter rain showers for lower elevation/valley
locations.

A clipper system passing through the Interior Northeast/New England today
is bringing light to moderate snowfall, particularly for Upstate New York
as of this afternoon. Snow will continue to pick up across New York and
across New England and Maine this evening into tomorrow. Local weather
forecast offices have issued Winter Weather Advisories for this evening as
a couple of inches of snowfall could accumulate, as well as some heavier
snowfall rates possible for commuters. Portions of northeast Maine have
issued Winter Storm Warnings for possible heavy snowfall accumulations of
5-8 inches. Farther south and east towards the urban corridor, some light
freezing rain is in the forecast and may make commuting slippery. The
system will quickly depart the region by Wednesday bringing an end to the
precipitation for most locations. However, cold post-frontal flow will
bring some lake-effect snows downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario, with some
additional light snowfall possible for upslope regions of the Appalachians.

Above average temperatures  will prevail for some of the country through
mid-week, especially across the Plains and the South. Wednesday-Friday,
much of the Plains will be 10-20 degrees warmer than average for middle
February. High temperatures will range from the low 80s across Texas to
the middle 50s across the Dakotas. 60s and 70s will prevail across the
Southeast, though temperatures may cool off towards the end of the week as
a cold front will move through the area by Thursday. The Northeast will
remain seasonably cool with maximum temperatures in the 30s behind a cold
front, but the Mid-Atlantic will manage to get some highs in the 40s. This
is a much welcome reprieve from the bitterly cold air mass present over
the East Coast during January and early February.

Wilder


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php