ALASKA EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 231 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014 VALID 12Z SUN NOV 02 2014 - 12Z THU NOV 06 2014 THE LAST COUPLE MAJOR DATA CYCLES OF MODEL GUIDANCE HAVE BEEN FRAUGHT WITH ISSUES THAT PRECLUDE THE DIRECT INCORPORATION OF ANY GIVEN OPERATIONAL SOLUTION--GFS AND ECMWF, INCLUDED. THE NOISIEST AREA IS THE STRETCH OF PACIFIC OCEAN JUST WEST OF THE PANHANDLE AND BRITISH COLUMBIA. THE BEHAVIOR OF A WAVE LIFTING TOWARD THE COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK IS THE MAIN CASUALTY OF THE MODEL DIVERGENCE. ELECTED TO USE AN EVEN BLEND OF THE 00Z/29 ECMWF AND ECENS MEAN IN AN ATTEMPT TO COME UP WITH A MIDDLE GROUND. THE ROBUST INCORPORATION OF THE ECENS MEAN--WHICH BECOMES THE SOLE GUIDANCE AFTER DAY 6--HELPS TO MITIGATE THE IMPORTANT DIFFERENCE UPSTREAM AS WELL. THE NEXT BIG WAVE PACKET APPROACHING KAMCHATKA IS HANDLED DISPARATELY BY THE OPERATIONAL VERSUS ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE. THE OPERATIONAL SOLUTIONS LOWER PRESSURES PRECIPITOUSLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN BERING SEA AND NORTHEAST RUSSIA, WHILE THE ENSEMBLE MEANS--PARTICULARLY THE ECENS MEAN--TRACK THE LOW CENTER EASTWARD AT A LOWER LATITUDE--CLOSER TO CLIMATOLOGY FOR NOVEMBER. CISCO