ALASKA EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1254 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2015 VALID 12Z THU AUG 20 2015 - 12Z MON AUG 24 2015 FOR NOW, GONI AND ATSANI ARE STILL OUT OF THE PICTURE. A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF AND ECENS MEAN THIS FORECAST SHOULD PROVIDE A SOLUTION WITH REALISTIC GRADIENT, YET WELL ROOTED IN THE GLOBAL ENSEMBLE CENTRAL CLUSTER. IT SEEMS THAT THE PANHANDLE IS ABOUT TO GET MORE ACTIVE, WITH THE MANUAL BLEND SENDING A DECENT CYCLONE ASHORE SATURDAY. THE 06Z GFS IS A BIT FARTHER NORTH THAN THE ECMWF WITH THAT STORM, BUT THE INCORPORATION OF THE ECENS MEAN LEAVES THE WINDOW OPEN FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AN OUTCOME CLOSER TO THAT GFS. THE SAME MITIGATION HOLDS TRUE FOR THE ENERGY BUBBLING UP TOWARD THE ALEUTIANS LATER IN THE PERIOD. CISCO