ALASKA EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 152 PM EST SUN JAN 31 2016 VALID 12Z THU FEB 04 2016 - 12Z MON FEB 08 2016 UPPER PATTERN REMAIN IN TACT - RIDGING REASSERTING ITSELF IN WESTERN CANADA WHILE TROUGHING RELOADS OVER THE ALEUTIANS. THIS SHOULD DRIVE SYSTEMS NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF AND AKPEN BEFORE DISSIPATING IN THE BERING. RECENT GFS/ECMWF RUNS SHOW GOOD CLUSTERING WITH THE ENSEMBLE MEANS BUT KEEP SHIFTING THE TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL SYSTEMS -- SOME QUICKER AND SOME SLOWER. OVERALL TREND IS A BIT FASTER AND THIS WAS REFLECTED IN THE SFC FRONTS. OTHERWISE... MULTI-MODEL/ENSEMBLE BLEND HAS SERVED WELL THE PAST COUPLE DAYS AND CONTINUED THIS AS A STARTING POINT TODAY. TRENDED TOWARD THE ENSEMBLE MEANS BY NEXT SUN/MON WHEN MUCH MORE SPREAD APPEARS. FRACASSO