Alaska Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 419 PM EDT Thu Jul 19 2018 Valid 12Z Mon Jul 23 2018 - 12Z Fri Jul 27 2018 ...Guidance and Predictability Assessment... Model spread increases with the breakdown of the ridge by next week. Although individual deterministic solutions agree with this trend, chose to take the ensemble mean approach for the extended forecast. An equal blend of the 00 UTC ECWMF ensemble mean and 06 UTC GEFS/NAEFS was used for the WPC medium range product suite. ...Weather Highlights and Hazards... A wavy surface front over northern portions of the state will keep increased clouds and chances for precipitation in the forecast. A couple of low pressure systems crossing the Aleutians will usher in scattered to widespread precipitation to western and southern Alaska through the middle of next week. Campbell WPC medium range Alaskan products including 500mb, surface fronts/pressures progs and sensible weather grids can be found at: http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/alaska/ak_5dayfcst500_wbg.gif http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/alaska/akmedr.shtml http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/alaska/ak_5km_gridsbody.html