Alaska Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 328 PM EST Wed Dec 12 2018 Valid 12Z Sun Dec 16 2018 - 12Z Thu Dec 20 2018 The latest runs of model and ensemble guidance is reducing the spread of error for the pattern evolution in the extended periods. Two closed lows are progged to pass south of the Aleutian chain and continues eastward through the Gulf of Alaska. The leading system will weaken as it approaches the south/southeast coast while ushering in scattered to widespread precipitation to these areas. The second cyclone is expected to follow a similar track through the Gulf of Alaska by the middle of this coming week. The preferred blend comprised of the 00Z ECMWF and its ensemble mean, the 12Z GFS, and the 12Z GEFS/NAEFS means. Campbell WPC medium range Alaskan products including 500mb, surface fronts/pressures progs and sensible weather grids can be found at: http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/alaska/ak_5dayfcst500_wbg.gif http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/alaska/akmedr.shtml http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/alaska/ak_5km_gridsbody.html