HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 729 AM EDT FRI JUL 15 2011 VALID 00Z SAT JUL 16 2011 - 00Z SAT JUL 23 2011 MODELS AND ENSEMBLES CONTINUE KEEPING A NEARLY STATIONARY HUGE HIGH CENTERED WELL NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. THE DETERMINISTIC GFS HINTS OF RETROGRESSION OF THIS HIGH TOWARDS THE END OF NEXT WEEK BUT THIS REMAINS TO BE SEEN. ANY WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCES PROPAGATING WESTWARD S OF THE REGION SHOULD NOT HAVE MUCH EFFECT ON AREA WEATHER UNTIL NEXT THU/FRI...WHEN A SOMEWHAT STRONGER UPPER SYS WILL APPROACH FROM THE E. MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY BRISK TRADES FOR THE ENTIRE FORTHCOMING WEEK. GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIPITATION TOTALS WINDWARD....POSSIBLY INCREASING BY NEXT FRI. A FEW WEAKENED SHOWERS COULD DRIFT LEEWARD. FLOOD