HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 630 AM EST FRI JAN 06 2012 VALID 00Z SAT JAN 07 2012 - 00Z SAT JAN 14 2012 MODELS AND ENSEMBLES OFFER SEASONAL TRADES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK IN A PATTERN WITH LIMITED WINDWARD FOCUSED RAINFALL. SIGNIFICANT FLOW AMPLIFICATION ACROSS THE MID-LATITUDES MAY LEAD TO DEEP MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT JUST NORTH OF THE THE ISLAND BY WED/THU THAT WOULD FURTHER DISRUPT TRADES AND FORCE A WELL DEFINED COLD FRONT SYSTEMS THROUGH THE STATE ALONG WITH A THREAT FOR ENHANCED MOISTURE AND CONVECTIVE RAINFALL. MODEL AND ENSEMBLE SPREAD IS ACTUALLY BETTER THAN NORMAL FOR THESE LONGER TIME FRAMES. SCHICHTEL