HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 628 AM EST SAT JAN 07 2012 VALID 00Z SUN JAN 08 2012 - 00Z SUN JAN 15 2012 MODELS AND ENSEMBLES OFFER SEASONAL TRADES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK IN A PATTERN WITH LIMITED WINDWARD FOCUSED RAINFALL. SIGNIFICANT FLOW AMPLIFICATION ACROSS THE MID-LATITUDES IN THE WEST PAC MAY LEAD TO DEEP MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT JUST NORTH OF THE THE ISLAND BY WED/THU THAT WOULD FURTHER DISRUPT TRADES AND FORCE A WELL DEFINED COLD FRONT SYSTEMS THROUGH THE STATE ALONG WITH A THREAT FOR ENHANCED MOISTURE AND CONVECTIVE RAINFALL. MODEL AND ENSEMBLE SPREAD IS ACTUALLY BETTER THAN NORMAL FOR THESE LONGER TIME FRAMES. SCREAMING MID LEVEL PAC JET FLOW CONTINUES COMING IN WITH ITS CORE ALONG 30N OFF OF ASIA REACHING OUT TO NEAR THE DATE LINE THIS PERIOD WITH A LARGE DEEP STORM DEVELOPING IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC. THIS SETS THE DOWNSTREAM STAGE FOR CUTOFF LOW POTENTIAL AS MENTIONED ABOVE JUST NORTHEAST OF THE ISLANDS SAT AND SUN. ROSENSTEIN