HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 634 AM EST MON JAN 09 2012 VALID 00Z TUE JAN 10 2012 - 00Z TUE JAN 17 2012 MODELS AND ENSEMBLES OFFER SEASONAL TRADES INTO MID WEEK IN A PATTERN WITH LIMITED WINDWARD FOCUSED RAINFALL. SIGNIFICANT FLOW AMPLIFICATION ACROSS THE MID-LATITUDES IN THE WEST PAC WOULD HAVE LEAD TO DEEP MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT NORTH OF THE THE ISLANDS BY THU/FRI THAT WOULD FURTHER DISRUPT TRADES AND FORCED A WELL DEFINED COLD FRONT THROUGH THE STATE. THIS SET UP REMAINS IN PLACE BUT IS STILL UNCERTAIN IN AMPLITUDE AND TIMING AND LOCATION. SCREAMING MID LEVEL PAC JET FLOW CONTINUES COMING IN WITH ITS CORE ALONG 30N OFF OF ASIA REACHING OUT TO NEAR THE DATE LINE THIS PERIOD WITH A LARGE DEEP STORM DEVELOPING IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC. THIS SETS THE DOWNSTREAM STAGE FOR CUTOFF LOW POTENTIAL AS MENTIONED ABOVE NORTHEAST OF THE ISLANDS SAT AND SUN WITH ANOTHER POTENTIAL IMPULSE TO THE NORTHWEST SETTING UP TO DISRUPT THE REGION LATE WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK. ROSENSTEIN