HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 607 AM EST TUE FEB 14 2012 VALID 00Z WED FEB 15 2012 - 00Z WED FEB 22 2012 MODELS AND ENSEMBLES SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT THAT UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL HOLD NORTHEAST OF HAWAII BETWEEN 30-40N AND 130-160W OVER THE NEXT WEEK AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS THROUGH THURSDAY. AN UPPER LOW WILL EASE INTO THE AREA BY THE WEEKEND IN CONCERT WITH IN INCREASE IN MOISTURE... RAISING THE CHANCE FOR WINDWARD SHOWERS ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN AREAS. TRADES WILL STAY MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY BRISK LATE THIS WEEK INTO NEXT WEEK. FRACASSO