HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 630 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012 VALID 00Z SAT FEB 18 2012 - 00Z SAT FEB 25 2012 MODELS AND ENSEMBLES REASONABLY AGREE IN SHOWING RIDGING ALOFT WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING NORTHEAST OF HAWAII AND MAINTAINING INTENSITY INTO NEXT WEEK...FAVORING MODERATE TO LOCALLY BRISK ISLAND TRADES. AN UPPER LOW DOES MEANDER NEAR/JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK AND THE TRADES MAY REVERT TO MORE MODERATE LEVELS INTO MIDWEEK. OVERALL EXPECT MAINLY WINDWARD LIMITED RAINFALL WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS CLOSER TO THE UPPER LOW...BUT THE DEEPEST MOISTURE STAYS SOUTH OF THE STATE. SCHICHTEL