HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 749 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012 VALID 00Z THU NOV 29 2012 - 00Z THU DEC 06 2012 TRADE WINDS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN EARLY THIS PERIOD AND REMAIN WEAKER THAN AVG THRU THE FORECAST PERIOD AS UPPER TROFFING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PAC AND A DEVELOPING CLOSED LOW ALONG THE DATELINE NEAR 40N KEEP THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EAST OF THE ISLANDS OVER THE ERN PAC BETWEEN 20 AND 30N. SUBSEQUENTLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND. PCPN CHANCES SHOULD INCREASE FOR THE NWRN ISLAND...KAUAI...OAHU...SUN INTO MON AS THE FRONTAL BNDRY ASSOC WITH THE AMPLIFYING CLOSED LOW TO THE NW OF THE ISLANDS BECOMES ORIENTED SW TO NE IN THE VICINITY OF THE UPR ISLANDS INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. AT THE MOMENT...IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT THIS FRONT WILL PRESS ANY FARTHER EWD AS THE UPR TROF SHEARS TO THE NORTHEAST. SUBSEQUENTLY...DRY WEATHER EXPECTED FOR THE PERIOD FOR THE LOWER ISLANDS SE OF OAHU...WITH MDT PCPN AMTS FOR OAHU AND KAUAI...WITH THE BETTER CHANCE OF PCPN AMTS FOR KAUAI. ORAVEC