HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 805 AM EDT SAT JUL 27 2013 VALID 00Z SUN JUL 28 2013 - 00Z SUN AUG 04 2013 THE FCST TIMING OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE HAS TRENDED A LITTLE FASTER OVER THE PAST DAY... SO THE ISLANDS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO SEE IMPACTS FROM FLOSSIE BY MON AND CONTINUING INTO TUE. BASED ON THE 09Z NHC ADVISORY THE SYSTEM SHOULD STILL HAVE MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STATUS AS IT REACHES THE BIG ISLAND BY 06Z TUE... AND THEN WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY 06Z WED. CONSULT THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY/DISCUSSION FOR FURTHER INFO REGARDING TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE. ASIDE FROM MINOR TIMING DIFFS WITH FLOSSIE THE MODEL/ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE MAINTAINS VERY GOOD AGREEMENT/CONTINUITY WITH THE OVERALL FCST. A RELATIVELY DRY TRADE FLOW PATTERN SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH A RIDGE ALOFT AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF ONLY AROUND ONE INCH. AFTER A PERIOD OF ENHANCED WIND/RNFL ASSOC WITH FLOSSIE DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK... HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING TO THE NE OF THE STATE WILL SUPPORT MODERATE TO BRISK TRADE FLOW FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD. PW VALUES WILL AGAIN BE FAIRLY LOW... THOUGH PERHAPS NOT QUITE AS LOW AS FCST THIS WEEKEND... WITH THE AXIS OF DRIEST AIR EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE NRN ISLANDS. THUS GENERALLY WINDWARD SHWRS SHOULD AGAIN BE ON THE LGT SIDE. RAUSCH