HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 727 AM EST THU JAN 02 2014 VALID 00Z FRI JAN 03 2014 - 00Z FRI JAN 10 2014 ...MODERATE KONA STORM TO FORM BY EARLY NEXT WEEK... THE ONLY GAME IN TOWN FOR HAWAI'I DURING THE NEXT WEEK IS THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH CLOSING OFF AFTER A STRONG COLD FRONT SETTLES ACROSS THE ISLAND CHAIN FRIDAY. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN VERY CONSISTENT IN ITS HANDLING OF THE SYSTEM, SO RELIED ON ITS DETAILS FOR THE PATTERN ASSESSMENT. ONCE THE TROUGH CLOSES OFF EAST OF THE STATE EARLY NEXT WEEK, IT SHOULD RETROGRADE TO THE WEST OF HAWAI'I BY THURSDAY. NEEDLESS TO SAY, THIS EVOLUTION IS A WET ONE FOR THE REGION. IF THE CYCLONE INCORPORATES MORE COLD AIR THAN INDICATED, THE OTHER CONSTELLATION OF HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH KONA STORMS--CONVECTION WITH HAIL, HIGH SURF, ET CETERA--COULD MATERIALIZE. AT THE VERY LEAST, 6-12" OF RAIN MAY FALL OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE BIG ISLAND BETWEEN TONIGHT AND LATE NEXT WEEK. CISCO