HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 727 AM EST TUE JAN 07 2014 VALID 00Z WED JAN 08 2014 - 00Z WED JAN 15 2014 SUCCESSIVE UPPER LOWS WILL IMPACT THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT SIX DAYS WITH A WIDE VARIETY OF WEATHER AND HAZARDS. GFS/ECMWF HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT OVERALL AND LIE CLOSE TO THEIR ENSEMBLE MEANS... WHICH SHOW A QPF MAX WELL TO THE EAST OF THE STATE NEAR 150W WITHIN THE SOUTHERLY FLOW OF THE SFC/UPPER LOW INITIALLY BEFORE IT DRIFTS WESTWARD OVER HAWAII AND WEAKENS. BY LATE FRI INTO SAT... THE SECOND UPPER LOW FROM THE NW WILL DROP DOWN TOWARD KAUAI BY SUN AND THEN LIFT OUT TO THE NE BY EARLY MON. 00Z-06Z GFS RUNS AND GEFS MEAN WERE A BIT QUICKER THAN THE 00Z ECMWF WHILE THE 00Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN LIED IN BETWEEN. PREFERENCE WOULD BE NEAR THE EC MEAN WHICH IS ROUGHLY A GFS/ECMWF COMPROMISE. ECMWF ENSEMBLES SHOW A MAX/MIN/MAX IN THE QPF DISTRIBUTION ACROSS KAUAI/MAUI/EASTERN BIG ISLAND WHICH RESEMBLES THE 00Z ECMWF AS WELL. FRACASSO