HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 722 AM EST THU FEB 06 2014 VALID 00Z FRI FEB 07 2014 - 00Z FRI FEB 14 2014 A SW-NE ORIENTED FRONT DRAPED OVER THE ISLANDS WILL SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY ENHANCED RNFL DURING THU-SAT... WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE/NARROWING OF HIGHEST PWATS SUGGESTING THE HIGHEST LIKELIHOOD FOR HEAVIER RNFL WOULD BE EARLY IN THAT PERIOD. BY SUN-TUE MODELS/ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO EXPECT ONE OR MORE WAVES TO TRACK TO THE NW OF THE STATE. THERE IS AS MUCH SPREAD AS EVER WITH DETAILS OF THIS EVOLUTION BUT IT IS AGREED THAT THE INITIAL FRONTAL BNDRY WILL LIFT NWD ON SUN WITH TRADE FLOW AROUND THE SWRN PERIPHERY OF ERN PAC HIGH PRESSURE BECOMING MORE DOMINANT. THIS FLOW COMBINED WITH LOWER AMTS OF DEEP MSTR WILL LEAD TO RNFL BECOMING LIGHTER AND FOCUSED MORE OVER WINDWARD TERRAIN. FROM LATE MON ONWARD THE 00Z ECMWF SHOWS GREATER AMPLITUDE ALOFT RELATIVE TO MOST OTHER SOLNS INCLUDING THE GEFS/ECMWF MEANS SO THE 00Z ECMWF FRONT TRAILING FROM THE AFOREMENTIONED WAVE/S MAY REACH A LITTLE FARTHER SEWD AT SOME FCST HRS. THUS WOULD INITIALLY BE INCLINED TO LEAN AWAY FROM THE 00Z ECMWF SCENARIO DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD. SOME ASSOC MSTR MAY STILL REACH NIIHAU/KAUAI BY TUE-THU... AS THE 06Z GFS DEPICTS IN SPITE OF HGTS ALOFT REMAINING MORE WITHIN THE CONSENSUS RANGE THAN THE 00Z ECMWF. RAUSCH