Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
827 AM EDT Fri Oct 03 2014

Valid 00Z Sat Oct 04 2014 - 00Z Sat Oct 11 2014

The latest models and ensembles still reasonably agree that light
trades may be further disrupted this weekend into next week as a
wavy mid-latitude front approaches and stalls to the northwest of
the state. This occurs as a series of lead supporting and
energetic mid-upper level troughs and then the potent
extratropical low associated with current west Pacific Typhoon
Phanfone pass over the northern Pacific well to the north of
Hawaii before lifting into the nern Pacific as a massively large
storm. Pooling moisture over the islands should continue to fuel
island showers in an emerging land/sea breeze focusing pattern as
per a prefered composite model and ensemble solution with trades
slow to return into later next week.

Schichtel