Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
729 AM EST Wed Jan 14 2015

Valid 00Z Thu Jan 15 2015 - 00Z Thu Jan 22 2015

No significant changes and/or alterations needed. The 14/00Z
forecast guidance continues with the theme of the local 7-day
Hawai'i forecast.

The 14/00Z GEFS/ECENS ensemble guidance seems to have made a
slight correction across the mid-latitude Pacific---in response to
the outcome of a cold pool aloft in the Bering Sea. This
adjustment is to bring the long wave trough to a position near
170W longitude rather than settle along the Dateline.

This does not make for change in the Subtropics through day
7---rather, it gives the GEFS/GFS equal 'footing' with the
ECENS/ECMWF across the Pacific and downstream into the North
American continent to day 7. A blend of the ECENS/GEFS should
handle the flow and sensible weather features this 7-day period.

Vojtesak