Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
736 AM EDT Mon Jul 06 2015

Valid 00Z Tue Jul 07 2015 - 00Z Tue Jul 14 2015

The 6/00Z forecast cycle guidance offers a consistent solution for
the Tropics and much of the Pacific. The active region of
disturbed weather --- of note between 130W and 150W and along 12N
will continue to meander west-northwestward during the next 2 to 3
days. The 6/00Z deterministic GFS/ECMWF provided decent guidance
heading into day 4 (10/12z) with a broad 500mb cyclonic flow
making a pass across the state from east to west between Thursday
and Saturday.

After day 5, the area of disturbed weather should move
sufficiently west of the Islands and a deep-layered ridge becomes
established over the subtropical central Pacific. A blend of the
6/00Z ECENS/GEFS means appear to handle the sequence with relative
ease.

Vojtesak