Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
818 AM EDT Sun Aug 23 2015

Valid 00Z Mon Aug 24 2015 - 00Z Mon Aug 31 2015


Hawai'i appears stuck in an unsettled regime for the remainder of
the month. The islands are progged to remain near the interface of
the polar westerlies and the tropical easterlies, with the
combination of deep-layer moisture and dynamics wringing out a
steady supply of showers. At this point, Kilo does not appear a
direct threat, but enhanced tropical moisture to the right of its
track will be a factor in rainfall amounts. By the end of the
period, the westerlies look as if they will gain ground for a
time. The ECMWF depiction of yet another tropical cyclone
approaching from the southeast next weekend is what is loaded in
the easterlies. Five-day QPF through 00Z/29 Saturday is one to
three inches statewide, with a focus over the terrain. Mauna Loa
appears particularly vulnerable, with the GFS still pegging the
peak with over a foot of rain.


Cisco