Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
718 AM EST Tue Nov 10 2015

Valid 00Z Wed Nov 11 2015 - 00Z Wed Nov 18 2015

Models and ensembles reasonably agree that surface based high
pressure reinforcing to the north and northeast of the state
should support brisk island trades for much of the next week. Flow
predictability seems above normal given low forecast spread and
run to run guidance consistency. A preferred GFS/ECMWF composite
has good ensemble support and favors a pattern with mainly
windward based showers under vicinity of a weakness aloft
lingering along/just east of the state, with some moisture pooling
over the next few days with approach of a weakening boundary.

Schichtel