Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
830 AM EDT Thu Mar 17 2016

Valid 00Z Fri Mar 18 2016 - 00Z Fri Mar 25 2016

Latest guidance remains in good agreement of a high pressure
passing to the north and east of the islands through the weekend
into Monday.  The cold front that has already passed to the south
of the islands has become stationary.  Showers associated with the
front should generally be south of the Big Island.  However, as
the high moves farther to the east and surface winds turns more
southerly, higher moisture content is expected to return by Sunday
into Monday with an increasing chance of showers over the Big
Island. As we get into midweek next week, models are in good
agreement that a cold front will arrive with a band of heavier
showers moving across from west to east from Wed to Thu.  Previous
runs of ECMWF have indicated a sharper and deeper upper trough
associated with this front but the trend has been backing off in
agreement with other models.

Kong/Rausch