Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 718 AM EST Wed Jan 23 2019 Valid 00Z Thu Jan 24 2019 - 00Z Thu Jan 31 2019 A preferred composite of well clustered model and ensemble guidance supports stable and disrupted flow with limited island showers over the next few days as a closed trough settles to the east of the state and ridging holds over the state. Amplified trough passage mainly to the north of the state Friday/Saturday and then again early next week will act to refocus closed low development northeast of the Big Island. In this pattern, a moisture and modest shower focusing cold front will work across the state underneath Saturday, with subsequent post-frontal surges supporting limited showers in cooler/drier northerly flow early-mid next week. Schichtel