Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 819 AM EDT Sun May 12 2019 Valid 00Z Mon May 13 2019 - 00Z Mon May 20 2019 A modest surge in precipitable water values associated with a surface trough will move westward across the islands through Wednesday. Windward/mauka showers are expected but should generally be on the light side with locally heavier amounts. Models and ensembles agree that upper ridging will strengthen atop the region starting midweek (500mb heights about +2.5 sigma) which will increase trades as surface high pressure strengthens to the northwest of Kauai and moves eastward Tue-Fri. Rainfall will be on the light side on favored windward/mauka areas due to a rather stable atmosphere. Fracasso