HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 829 AM EDT SUN MAR 09 2014 VALID 00Z MON MAR 10 2014 - 00Z MON MAR 17 2014 IMPULSE PASSAGES ALOFT AND THE APPROACH OF A WEAKENING FRONT FROM THE NW SHOULD WORK TO WEAKEN THE CURRENT TRADE WEATHER PATTERN BY MON INTO A PATTERN WITH LINGERING MOISTURE AS PER BLENDED PRECIPITATBLE WATER LOOP TRENDS AND SOME SCATTERED ISLAND SHOWERS. GRADUAL TRADE RETURN TUE-THU WILL OCCUR AS AN AMPLIFIED MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SETTLES TO THE EAST OF THE STATE AND AS INCREASINGLY FRONT SHIELDING HEIGHTS RISE OVER THE ISLANDS...LIMITING RAINS TO MOST FAVORED WINDWARD TERRAIN DURING THIS PERIOD. VIGOROUS MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSAGE JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE STATE FRI INTO SAT AND ASSOCIATED HEIGHT FALLS UNDERNEATH SHOULD PROPEL A COLD FRONT AND ORGANIZED SHOWERS THROUGH THE STATE...WITH A RETURN OF POST-FRONTAL TRADE FLOW OVER NEXT WEEKEND. MODELS AND ENSEMBLES REMAIN IN BETTER THAN AVERAGE AGREEMENT IN SUPPORT OF THIS PATTERN FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK...BOLSTERING FORECAST CONFIDENCE. SCHICHTEL