HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 824 AM EDT TUE MAY 06 2014 VALID 00Z WED MAY 07 2014 - 00Z WED MAY 14 2014 RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER HAWAI'I THROUGH MIDWEEK AS ENERGY NORTH OF 30N TRANSLATES EASTWARD. BY THURSDAY,THE ENSEMBLES HAVE CONTINUED TO WAVER ON HOW STRONG THAT SYSTEM TO THE NORTH WILL BE AND HOW FAR SOUTH ITS AFFECT WILL BE. IT APPEARS THAT THE MODELS ENSEMBLES HAVE TRENDED BACK TOWARD A MORE DEFINED FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO PUSH THROUGH AT LEAST KAUAI LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY,BUT NOW PERHAPS INTO THE BIG ISLAND BY SUNDAY. THOUGH THE ECMWF/GFS ARE MORE AGGRESSIVE THAN BOTH THE ECENS/GEFS MEANS, THEY FALL WITHIN THE ENSEMBLE SPREAD. NEAR CLIMO PW VALUES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS SHOULD INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT, BUT SINCE THE UPPER SUPPORT SHOULD STILL PUSH BY TO THE NORTHEAST, ONLY LIMITED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. CISCO