Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 830 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2014 Valid 00Z Tue Jun 17 2014 - 00Z Tue Jun 24 2014 The models and ensembles agree in showing that potent eastern Pacific high pressure bridging to the north of the islands should support moderate to locally breezy trades for much of the coming week in a pattern with terrain based and some leeward showers. Water vapor imagery also shows two slow moving upper lows swirling NE and NW of the state that seem reasonably well initiallized by the latest models and ensembles. A favored guidance composite holds these features offshore the state, but allows a weakness aloft to extend/linger over the southern islands through the weekend as a mean ridge aloft builds toward the nrn islands. This could enhance shower potential with destabilization. The composite solution tends to weed out the less predictable small scale forecast components while providing max continuity despite lingering uncertainty. Schichtel