Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
747 AM EDT Mon Aug 11 2014

Valid 00Z Tue Aug 12 2014 - 00Z Tue Aug 19 2014

11/00Z ECENS/GEFS and their deterministic runs consistent with
current CPHC forecasts for 'Julio'. ECMWF deterministic solution
remains on western side of the forecast envelope---with the GFS on
the eastern side of the guidance.

Please refer to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) for
the latest information, discussions and updates concerning 'Julio'.

The wake of 'Iselle' and 'Julio' has left the Islands with little
to no tradewind. A light wind with high surf and high humidity is
anticipated for another days or so when 'Julio' is expected to
release northward into the mid-latitude north Pacific flow
pattern. By Wednesday and Thursday, the weather returns to normal
with moderate trades back in the forecast. A blend of the 11/00z
GEFS/ECENS means will provide a very good depiction of the flow
pattern over the entire Pacific through day 7 and liked the
deterministic GFS over the ECMWF in the short term for a
re-emergence of the Subtropical High to the northeast of the
Islands.

The ITCZ remains active during the latter half of the medium range
forecast with NHC citing a 'new' tropical disturbance invof 100W
for next weekend.

Vojtesak