Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
725 AM EST Thu Nov 06 2014

Valid 00Z Fri Nov 07 2014 - 00Z Fri Nov 14 2014

...A wet period for Hawaii...

A favored composite of reasonable and compatable models and
ensembles agree upon a similar overall flow pattern effecting
Hawaii over the next week. In this active flow, a series of highly
amplified mid-upper level troughs steadily progress along but with
most dynamics to the north of the islands with most ernest this
Friday and again by Wednesday. Each will force an associated
trailing cold front down across the islands along with enhanced
moisture pooling and rainfall potential. The lead front works
across state Friday into the weekend, but with possible stalling
could provide a lingering Big Island frontal/moisture focus
leading in advance of the second frontal arrival next
Wednesday/Thursday. This system may offer somewhat more dynamic
trough support aloft considering the expected building of an
increasingly amplified upstream mid-upper level west-central
Pacific ridge.

Schichtel