Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
729 AM EST Sun Nov 09 2014

Valid 00Z Mon Nov 10 2014 - 00Z Mon Nov 17 2014

Latest models and ensembles still reasonably agree upon a similar
overall mid-larger scale flow pattern for the Hawaiian islands for
much of the coming week, so prefer an overall composite solution
tp mitigate lingering smaller scale guidance variance.

Expect lighter winds/less showers to develop over the state over
the next few days as a closed low now northeast of the state gets
kicked northeastward today in response to the steady approach of
upstream mid-upper level troughing to the lee of a building
western Pacific mid-upper level ridge. Most of this trough energy
holds north of the islands as numerous flow embedded impulses work
through/into the mean trough position, but this pattern should
support several trailing frontal surges down into the islands by
around midweek and again heading into next weekend along with some
enhanced shower potential as moisture moves inland.

Schichtel