Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
729 AM EST Thu Jan 15 2015

Valid 00Z Fri Jan 16 2015 - 00Z Fri Jan 23 2015

A well defined storm track remains focused to the north of the
state over the mid-latitudes of the Pacific overtop a persistent
and shielding mid-upper level ridge centered just to the south of
the Hawaiian Islands. Trades are disrupted in this pattern over
much of the next week. Model and ensemble forecast solution spread
and uncertainty seems remarkably low over the next week and show a
lead impulse aloft supported frontal system approach toward the
western islands this Friday/Saturday with another approach in
about a week at the tail end of this forecast period. Both systems
may allow for a period of increased lead moisture into the state
along with some organized showers in an otherwise more limited
rainfall pattern overall.

Schichtel