Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
715 AM EST Wed Feb 04 2015

Valid 00Z Thu Feb 05 2015 - 00Z Thu Feb 12 2015

...An active weather pattern for the Hawaiian Islands...

A series of progressive embedded systems continue to work through
fast westerlies dominating the mid-lower latitudes of the Pacific.
Models and ensembles still show quite similar larger scale flow
evolutions. A guidance composite is favored to mitigate lingering
smaller scale detail and system timing variances, but overall the
periodically wet pattern offers above normal predictability.

Impulses tracking aloft to the north of the state support
multi-banded passages of moisture and rainfall focusing surface
fronts across the Hawaiian Islands over the next couple of days.
Expect a relatively dry period Friday through the weekend between
significant systems. Another organized system passage aloft and
deep low to the north of the state forces another moisture and
rainfall focusing surface front underneath across the islands next
Monday/Tuesday leading into another dry period by next midweek
when deeper moisture should be more efficently swept away.

Schichtel