Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
733 AM EDT Thu Jul 09 2015

Valid 00Z Fri Jul 10 2015 - 00Z Fri Jul 17 2015

The 00Z-06z global models and ensembles agree on the track of Ela
going north of the islands the next few days and then moving west
away from the islands over the weekend.
The plume of enhanced precipitable water associated with the wave
containing Ela moves across the islands with the threat of locally
heavy showers over the weekend.
From the early to middle portion of next week, the
models/ensembles show high pressure sfc and aloft building north
of the islands, producing a transition to moderate to brisk trades.
While precipitable water drop after Ela's departure, they remain
above normal through the middle of next week, so enhanced showers
with heavy downpours are expected on the windward shores of the
islands, particularly the big island. 

Please refer to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) for
the most recent information and forecasts concerning Ela.

Petersen