Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
827 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2015

Valid 00Z Sun Jul 12 2015 - 00Z Sun Jul 19 2015

The remnants of Ela are passing to the north of the islands this
weeekend. This track may act to temporarily ease Hawaiian trade
flow. A preferred model and ensemble composite indicates that a
well defined plume of enhanced moisture moves across the islands
with the threat of locally heavy showers. Blended precipitable
water satelite loops still support this. Additional moisture is
also associated from Tropical Depression Two-C that is now passing
well to the south of the state. Please refer to the Central
Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) for the most recent information
concerning Tropical Depression 02c and also Tropical Storm Halola
that has developed far southwest of the state.

Models and ensembles show high pressure building north then
northeast of the islands in the wake of Ela all next week,
producing a transition to moderate to brisk island trades. While
precipitable water value dip after Ela's departure, moisture still
seems sufficient to fuel some enhanced showers with heavy
downpours over windward areas, particularly the Big Island. 

Schichtel