Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
830 AM EDT Wed Oct 07 2015

Valid 00Z Thu Oct 08 2015 - 00Z Thu Oct 15 2015

The Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) indicates that
Hurricane Oho was located east of the islands near 20.4N/147.2W at
09 UTC. Oho is lifting north-northeastward and increasingly away
from the state.

Expect a quite limited moisture/rainfall/trade pattern to develop
across the state in the wake of Oho Thursday into the weekend.
Models and ensembles then dig a mid-upper level trough to the
northwest then just north/into of the islands early to mid next
week. The 00 UTC ECMWF/Canadian offer a more diggy/closer trough
aloft than the 00/06 UTC GFS or 00 UTC UKMET. Prefer a more diggy
solution given upstream ridge amplitude common to guidance.
Overall, this would act to force deeper lower lattitude moisture
back up into the state to fuel lead dynamicallly enhanced showers
in advance of an associated cold frontal approach.

Schichtel