Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
725 AM EST Wed Jan 27 2016

Valid 00Z Thu Jan 28 2016 - 00Z Thu Feb 04 2016

Models and ensembles remain in reasonably good agreement with the
forecast for Hawaii for the next week and a composite solution
remains favored to mitigate less predictable smaller scale
forecast components. Forecast spread and uncertainty are less than
average in this pattern. The islands will be under a surface ridge
on the far periphery of eastern Pacific high pressure into
Thursday in dry/light flow, while a wavy front slowly approaches
from the northwest. This front/showers stall near Kauai and
gradually dissipates Sat-Mon as another shower/moisture pooling
front approaches from the NW that may reach the islands around
Tue. More typical trade flow may then develop with post-frontal
high pressure passing to the north of the islands.

Schichtel