Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 732 AM EST Tue Feb 23 2016 Valid 00Z Wed Feb 24 2016 - 00Z Wed Mar 02 2016 Light winds and generally dry conditions are expected for the Hawaiian Islands into midweek in a post-frontal airmass of a lead front now southeast of the state. Guidance agrees that dynamic mid-upper level trough energy will pass to the north of the state Wednesday/Thursday. Satellite imagery matches well with latest models and ensembles that also identifies an associated front now northwest of the state crossing 30N 170W that is slated to work into the islands Thursday before stalling as mid-upper support ejects away from the state. Guidance and blended precipitable water loops agree that pooled moisture and showers with this feature will also be enhanced with return flow of deeper moisture associated with the lead front now just to the southeast that spreads and lingers back across the islands to combine to fuel a wet period with some heavier local downpours Thursday into early next week. The possible approach of another well defined front from the northwest by early next week with yet another amplified mid-upper level trough passage to the north of the state may again act to enhance island moisture and rainfall. Schichtel