Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
705 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2016

Valid 00Z Sun Feb 28 2016 - 00Z Sun Mar 06 2016

Over the next seven days expect variable winds as progressive
mid-latitude Pacific flow aloft pushes a series of fronts toward
the islands.  An initial front to the north of the state will
stall as another front approaches, reaching the islands around
Mon.  Then a deep system wrapping up between Hawai'i and Alaska
will bring a stronger front through in the Tue-Tue night time
frame.  Trailing high pressure will support a brief period of
brisk northerly winds.  Winds will weaken and become more easterly
as the surface high weakens/elongates over or just north of the
northern islands.  Guidance indicates the approach of another
front around next Sat.  Models/ensemble means are agreeable for
large scale features through Fri.  Then recommend compromise
timing as GFS/GEFS runs become somewhat faster than other
solutions with the Sat front and trailing surface high.  What
rainfall does occur should be on the light side, especially from
Wed onward when GFS/ECMWF runs show precipitable water values 1-2
standard deviations below climatology.

Rausch