Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
724 AM EST Fri Mar 04 2016

Valid 00Z Sat Mar 05 2016 - 00Z Sat Mar 12 2016

Models and ensembles remain in good agreement for the Pacific for
the next week. Moisture associated with an old front will linger
over the southeast islands through tomorrow with some enhanced
showers in an otherwise drier than average atmosphere. Weak island
flow will otherwise be in control into the weekend as a 1020mb
high slides eastward along 28N. A deep mid-upper level trough digs
southward Sunday/Monday past the Dateline and will bring a strong
cold front through the region on Tuesday. Sharp increase in PW and
winds will accompany the frontal passage though the progressive
nature of the front may limit the heavy rain potential. Strong
high pressure in its wake will move eastward for the end of the
week next week, keeping trades active from the N to NE to E. A
non-Canadian blend of the models should suffice to average out
timing differences.


Fracasso