Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
729 AM EST Thu Mar 10 2016

Valid 00Z Fri Mar 11 2016 - 00Z Fri Mar 18 2016

A relatively dry post-frontal airmass has spread across the
Hawaiian Islands as high pressure bridges to the north of the
state. Models and ensembles reasonably agree that rainfall will be
limited through the weekend and be primarily confined to favored
windward terrain in enhanced trade flow. Forecast spread and
uncertainty is below normal in this weather pattern. The approach
of an amplified mid-upper level trough energies from the northwest
early next week should act to relax trade support over the islands
and allow moisture to gradually rebound. Main system passage aloft
along/north of the state Tuesday/Wednesday should also force a
well defined surface cold front with organized showers through the
islands, followed by a return of moderate post-frontal trade flow
pattern.

Schichtel