Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
727 AM EST Fri Mar 11 2016

Valid 00Z Sat Mar 12 2016 - 00Z Sat Mar 19 2016

It remains the case that a relatively dry post-frontal airmass has
settled across the Hawaiian Islands as high pressure bridges to
the north of the state. Models and ensembles reasonably agree that
rainfall will be limited into the weekend and be primarily
confined to favored windward terrain in breezy trade flow over the
next few days. However, the approach of an amplified mid-upper
level trough energies from the northwest should act to relax trade
support over the islands and allow moisture to gradually rebound
heading into early next week. Main system passage aloft
along/north of the state Tuesday/Wednesday should also force a
well defined surface cold front with organized showers through the
islands, followed by a return of moderate post-frontal trade flow
pattern. Forecast spread and uncertainty is below normal in this
weather pattern over much of the next week.

Schichtel