Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 830 AM EDT Wed Mar 30 2016 Valid 00Z Thu Mar 31 2016 - 00Z Thu Apr 07 2016 A favored composite of compatable guidance indicates that a weakening front with some pooled moisture and showers stalls near the Big Island over the next couple of days in a pattern with light winds. Heights rise through the weekend into next Monday over and north of the state than ushers in a more typical trade pattern across the state, albeit with limited rainfall potential. Flow amplification over the Pacific leads to potential approach of a western Pacific mid-upper level trough early next week that would force a front with enhanced convection southeastward toward the state. Forecast spread and uncertainty increases at these longer time frames with recent GFS and GEFS guidance more sheared and progressive than the ECMWF, UKMET, Canadian, and most ECMWF ensembles. Prefer a solution on the amplified side of the full envelope of solutions given the recent and forecast upstream flow pattern. Schichtel