Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
752 AM EDT Thu Jul 07 2016

Valid 00Z Fri Jul 08 2016 - 00Z Fri Jul 15 2016

The 7/00Z GFS/ECMWF deterministic guidance seems reasonable---and
in good agreement--- through mid-point day 3 (10/12Z) with the
primary synoptic-scale features between 20N & 30N latitude. What
has been a persistent and gusty Trade regime for sometime ---
should relax over the weekend --- with new features introduced to
the weather pattern.

Forecast philosophy remains unchanged---given the 'blocky' pattern
that has come to fruition across the mid-latitude and subtropical
Pacific.

Beyond day 3---hard to visualize the GFS solution---with two TUTT
cells 'blocking' the forward momentum of "Blas". And would
think---following the 7/00Z ECMWF for the smaller-scale details
will be helpful to piece together a decent forecast scenario
heading into day 6 (13/00Z). That being--- the overall scenario
that handles the TUTT-dominant and westward movements of what was
'Agatha"; the forward momentum and trajectory of "Blas"; and
"Four-E" invof 16N 129W (valid at 13/12Z).

Do refer to the National Hurricane Center for the latest forecast
information and guidance concerning all tropical systems in the
southeast Pacific.

Vojtesak