Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
718 AM EST Mon Nov 14 2016

Valid 00Z Tue Nov 15 2016 - 00Z Tue Nov 22 2016

The latest models and ensembles still reasonably agree that an
energetic main storm track across the Pacific mid-latitudes will
force a lead cold front toward the islands that gradually weakens
and stalls just north of the state over the next couple of days.
This occurs as island trades rebound with post-frontal high
pressure building to the north then northeast of the state.
Additional flow amplification may provide better support for a
more robust front and showers push into Hawaii Friday/Saturday.
Weakening trades in advance of the front Thursday should ramp up
again over the weekend into early next week with frontal passage
as a new high sets up to the north of the state.

Schichtel