Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
725 AM EST Thu Nov 24 2016

Valid 00Z Fri Nov 25 2016 - 00Z Fri Dec 02 2016

Elevated trades will persist for a couple more days as the
pressure gradient weakens over the region. Ensembles show the
upper high rebuilding well to the northeast of Hawai'i Sun/Mon to
then be squashed and replaced by another upper high along 150W
near 35N by next Thursday. This will help to gradually lower
heights over the area from the east but also perhaps from the west
as the tail end of an upper trough may move eastward toward 165W.
The ECMWF/Canadian lie to the east of the GFS but the east-west
ensemble spread still remains large. Either way, the ensembles
indicate the QPF axis to remain west of the islands next week (for
now). In the interim, generally light to modest precipitation,
especially in windward locations but also into the leeward side
due to the stronger trades, are expected.


Fracasso