Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
815 AM EDT Tue Apr 02 2019

Valid 00Z Wed Apr 03 2019 - 00Z Wed Apr 10 2019

Models and ensembles agree to develop modest trades over the next
few days as supporting post-frontal high pressure bridges just to
the north of the state in a drier air mass with limited moisture
and showers. An approaching cold front may act to weaken trades
heading into this weekend as the surface high shifts eastward into
the subtropical northeast Pacific. Expect gradually increasing
shower activity over the weekend into early next week as lead
return flow brings increasing deep moisture from the southeast
behind the departing subtropical surface anticyclone. Forecast
spread and uncertainty with embedded weather feature specifics
increases more substantially at longer time frames, but a favored
guidance composite suggests that trades may also return to
seasonal levels early next week as high pressure rebuilds to the
north of the state in the wake of the stalling front. This offers
potential for enhanced windward terrain precipitation.

Schichtel